Biotic communities vary continuously across space, yet biome maps impose categorical boundaries that compress this variation, particularly at ecotones where transitional communities are ecologically distinct. Could Earth observation (EO) foundation models, which encode spectral, spatial, and temporal information with dense embeddings, convert discrete biome maps into continuous representations that better capture ecological variation? Here, we fit a linear classifier on Clay v1.5 satellite image embeddings to predict biome labels from a categorical map. The softmax output yields a continuous probability vector whose dimensions correspond to named biome classes. We evaluate this approach using six Brazilian biomes, 1.3 million embeddings, and 10,015 withheld forest inventory plots spanning 4,672 plant species. The continuous biome representation outperforms discrete biome labels for predicting species occurrence (mean per-species AUC 0.618 vs. 0.570 across 10 spatial cross-validation folds). Decomposing this gain shows that continuity in the graded probability output, rather than label reassignment, accounts for the improvement; the pattern holds across all distances from biome boundaries. The raw 1024-dimensional embedding remains the strongest predictor we tested (mean AUC 0.646 vs. 0.618), but the continuous representation recovers most of the embedding's gain over discrete labels. This simple approach provides a probabilistic replacement for categorical map labels, preserving their meaning while encoding graded variation that discrete maps suppress.

For groups without strict hierarchy, collective decisions often emerge through compromise. We develop a second-order network model of collective decision-making using a dissipative Hamiltonian formulation, in which informed agents introduce preferred directions while uninformed participants contribute only direction-free dissipation. We show that under low conflict, the model admits a locally unique, exponentially stable compromise state. Using a structured modular network we further show that as conflict increases the local compromise branch terminates through a saddle-node fold rather than through a smooth mean-field symmetry-breaking transition. Modular polarized states persist on branches that are locally separated from the compromise branch. Direction-free dissipation does not shift the static structural threshold, but it delays escape from the saddle-node ghost and pushes the observable onset of polarization to larger conflicts. Our work identifies a dissipation-mediated mechanism, complementary to connectivity-based accounts, through which uninformed participants stabilize collective behavior in biological and engineered swarms.

Multispecies ecosystems modelled by generalized Lotka-Volterra equations exhibit stationary population abundances, where large number of species often coexist. Understanding the precise conditions under which this is at all feasible and what triggers species extinctions is a key, outstanding problem in theoretical ecology. Using standard methods of random matrix theory, I show that distributions of species abundances are Gaussian at equilibrium, in the weakly interacting regime. One consequence is that feasibility is generically broken before stability, for large enough number of species. I further derive an analytical expression for the probability that $n=0,1,2,...$ species go extinct and conjecture that a single-parameter scaling law governs species extinctions. These results are corroborated by numerical simulations in a wide range of system parameters.

The RNA world hypothesis suggests a pathway of how life emerged on early earth. It assumes that life started with RNA based systems, capable of storing, transmitting and replicating information, envisioning that monomers and short RNA oligomers interact to form longer strands, eventually becoming catalytically active ribozymes. Key reactions in RNA pools are hybridization, dehybridization, templated ligation, and cleavage. Those reactions depend on many environmental parameters and the wide range of possible configurations among interacting strands. In order to scan such high dimensional parameter spaces, efficient descriptions are needed. Motif rate equations project complex strand reactor dynamics onto sequence motif space. Here we present a Bayesian inference framework to infer their parameters from ligation count data produced by strand reactor simulations. This provides a framework to match the simpler motif rate equations to more complex simulations. Additionally, it is a step towards inferring reaction rate constants directly from experimental data, including rigorous uncertainty estimation. This could be an essential procedure to connect theory and experiment, and deepen our understanding of the essential features necessary for life to emerge.

We construct a new class of infinite-dimensional diffusions with values in a generalized Kingman simplex with finitely many marks. The model describes the temporal evolution of the relative frequencies of infinitely many types that are labeled by a finite number $H$ of marks, but unlabeled within each mark. We first establish a blockwise skew-product representation for a finite-type Wright-Fisher diffusion, extending the aggregation-renormalization self-similarity property of Dirichlet laws. The decomposition separates an $H$-dimensional Wright-Fisher diffusion governing the evolving random mark masses, from $H$ Wright-Fisher diffusions, each run on its own random clock, which describe the evolution of the relative frequencies within each mark. After ranking the within-mark frequencies in decreasing order, we identify the distributional limit as the number of types per mark tends to infinity and we derive an explicit form of its infinitesimal generator on a suitable domain. The limiting diffusion admits the multiple Poisson-Dirichlet distribution as a stationary distribution; it recovers the infinitely-many-neutral-alleles diffusion when all types share the same mark and yields a diffusion on the Thoma simplex when there are two marks.

Ecological models traditionally explain stability and coexistence through pairwise interactions among species. However, interactions can also involve groups of three or more species, higher-order interactions, which recent theory suggests can stabilize communities. Yet, the conditions under which higher-order interactions are sufficient to stabilize coexistence in communities where pairwise and higher-order interactions occur simultaneously remain unknown. This work addresses this gap by analyzing a model of competitive communities that incorporates a proportion of pairwise and higher-order interactions. Using empirical data, numerical simulations, and analytical methods, we show that higher-order interactions alone cannot guarantee coexistence. We find that, while a small fraction of higher-order interactions can stabilize dynamics in communities of identical species, this effect weakens under more realistic conditions, such as variability in birth and mortality rates or explicit interaction structures. Our results challenge the prevailing view of higher-order interactions as a universal stabilizing mechanism, providing quantitative evidence of the joint importance of both pairwise and higher-order interactions, together with network structure and species parameters, for understanding ecological stability.