The Moving Target of Urban Equity: Spatiotemporal Demand and Double Disadvantage in Hefei, China
城市公平的移动目标:中国合肥的时空需求与双重劣势
Shirui Zhou, Matteo Bruno, Mattia Mazzoli, Junfang Tian, Rui Jiang, Enwan Zhang, Zheng Li, Vittorio Loreto
AI总结 利用手机GPS数据构建动态人口暴露面,结合网络旅行时间和人均服务指标,揭示合肥医疗和绿地服务的时空不平等,发现双重劣势区域集中于内城郊区而非偏远外围。
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公平获取基本城市服务是现代规划的支柱,但大多数可达性模型严格依赖静态居住位置,忽略了日常循环中需求的变化。本研究引入了一个基于人口的、时间差异化的框架,以考察由此产生的城市公平的“移动目标”,重点关注中国合肥的医疗设施和绿地。利用大规模手机GPS数据,我们构建了动态的居住和工作人口暴露面,以捕捉每小时的需求变化。然后,我们通过基于网络的旅行时间与一种新颖的人均服务指标(考虑实时需求竞争)来评估可达性。我们将“双重劣势”定义为空间可达性差和人均服务可用性不足的同时发生。与直觉相反,结果显示双重劣势区域主要聚集在内城郊区,而非偏远外围,那里的人均服务供应相对充足。此外,时间变化极大地改变了公平格局:白天的工作人口集中加剧了城市就业中心的需求竞争。这些发现表明,城市不平等在很大程度上取决于时空人口流动,而不仅仅是服务的固定位置。最终,实现真正的城市公平需要动态规划干预,以应对随时间变化的需求,而不是仅仅关注静态的基于家庭的指标。
Equitable access to essential urban services is a pillar of modern planning, yet most accessibility models rely strictly on static residential locations, ignoring how demand shifts throughout the daily loop. This study introduces a population-based, temporally differentiated framework to examine the resulting "moving target" of urban equity, focusing on medical facilities and green spaces in Hefei, China. Utilising large-scale mobile phone GPS data, we construct dynamic residential and workplace population exposure surfaces to capture shifting hourly demand. We then evaluate accessibility via network-based travel times paired with a novel per-capita provision metric that accounts for real-time demand competition. We define \textit{double disadvantage} as the co-occurrence of poor spatial accessibility and insufficient per-capita service availability. Counterintuitively, the results reveal that double-disadvantaged areas cluster primarily along the inner suburban belt rather than the remote periphery, where per-capita service provision remains relatively sufficient. Furthermore, temporal shifts drastically alter equity landscapes: daytime workplace concentrations intensely exacerbate demand competition in urban job centres. These findings demonstrate that urban inequality depends heavily on spatiotemporal population flows rather than just the fixed location of services. Ultimately, achieving true urban equity requires dynamic planning interventions that address time-varying demand rather than focusing solely on static, home-based metrics.