arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
2606.20489 2026-06-19 q-bio.PE nlin.CG physics.bio-ph stat.AP 交叉投稿

West Nile virus outbreak in Italy modelled with the quantum Game of Life

意大利西尼罗病毒疫情用量子生命游戏建模

Andrea Fontana, Simone Tambascia, Ciro Di Carluccio, Andrea Esposito, Bernardo Spagnolo, Andrea M. Chiariello

AI总结 使用量子生命游戏细胞自动机模型模拟2025年夏季意大利西尼罗病毒传播,通过优化蚊子出生和移除率,准确拟合局部和区域平均累计感染曲线,并评估环境变化的影响。

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AI中文摘要

近年来,意大利观察到西尼罗病毒(WNV)异常高传播,特别是在拉齐奥南部、坎帕尼亚和威尼托地区感染高峰显著。WNV的主要病媒是库蚊,通过叮咬传播人类感染。本文通过基于量子版本的生命游戏(GOL)细胞自动机模型的计算方法,研究2025年夏季意大利西尼罗热疫情的扩散。具体而言,人类动力学根据GOL规则演化,而病媒(即蚊子)的随机动力学及其与人类的相互作用同时发生。我们表明,该模型在局部和平均区域水平上以高精度拟合累计感染个体曲线,仅需优化蚊子出生率和移除率参数。此外,利用模型的灵活性,我们表明模型参数值的变化阐明了系统对环境变化的响应。例如,我们量化了蚊子传播控制措施或由于气候和生态变化导致的蚊子突然增加的影响。总体而言,我们提供了意大利WNV感染传播的一般定量描述,可作为测试不同环境情景的支持工具,并有助于决策者制定监测病媒动力学和控制病毒传播的策略。

英文摘要

In the last years, an anomalously high spreading of West Nile virus (WNV) has been observed in Italy, with particularly high peaks of infections in southern Lazio, Campania and Veneto regions. The main disease vector for WNV is represented by Culex pipiens mosquitoes, which spread human infections through their bites. Here, we investigate WNV fever epidemic diffusion during summer season 2025 in Italy through a computational approach based on a quantum version of the Game of Life (GOL) cellular automaton model. Specifically, human dynamics evolves according to the GOL rules, while stochastic dynamics of disease vectors, i.e., mosquitoes, as well as their interaction with humans, simultaneously occur. We show that this model fits the curves of cumulative infected individuals with high accuracy, either at local and average-regional level, with only optimization of mosquito birth and removal rates parameters. Furthermore, leveraging model flexibility, we show that changes in model parameters values elucidate system response to environmental variations. For instance, we quantify, e.g., the impact of mosquito spreading containment measures or sudden mosquito increasing abundance due to climatic and ecological changes. Overall, we provide a general, quantitative description of WNV infection spreading in Italy which could represent a supportive tool to test different environmental scenarios and could be useful to devise strategies for decision makers to monitor disease vector dynamics and to control consequent virus diffusion.

2002.02653 2026-06-19 nlin.CG math.DS 版本更新

$q$-VFCA: $q$-state Vector-valued Fuzzy Cellular Automata

Yuki Nishida, Sennosuke Watanabe, Akiko Fukuda, Yoshihide Watanabe

Comments 16 pages

Journal ref Journal of Cellular Automata, 15: 207-222, 2020

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英文摘要

Elementary fuzzy Cellular Automata (CA) are known as continuous counterpart of elementary CA, which are 2-state CA, via the polynomial representation of local rules. In this paper, we first develop a new fuzzification methodology for $q$-state CA. It is based on the vector representation of $q$-state CA, that is, the $q$-states are assigned to the standard basis vectors of the $q$-dimensional real space and the local rule can be expressed by a tuple of $q$ polynomials. Then, the $q$-state vector-valued fuzzy CA are defined by expanding the set of the states to the convex hull of the standard basis vectors in the $q$-dimensional real space. The vector representation of states enables us to enumerate the number-conserving rules of 3-state vector-valued fuzzy CA in a systematic way.