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physics.soc-ph物理与社会6
2606.12399 2026-06-11 physics.soc-ph 新提交

Revealing Peri-Urban Dislocation through Percolation Analysis

通过渗流分析揭示城郊错位

Dr Melissa Barrientos-Trinanes, Professor Stephen Marshall, Professor Elsa Arcaute

AI总结 提出城郊错位作为结构性条件,利用街道网络渗流分析揭示城市核心与外围的层级错位,并通过智利瓦尔迪维亚和美国波士顿案例展示两种不同表现。

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17 pages, 5 figures
AI中文摘要

本文引入城郊错位作为一种结构性条件,通过捕捉内城与外围区域之间的层级错位,补充了现有的蔓延度量指标。传统度量强调密度、土地利用混合度或碎片化,而城郊错位反映了城市系统核心-外围关系功能组织中更深层次的分歧。我们利用街道网络的渗流分析来操作化这一概念,通过聚类图和树状图揭示层级模式,提供城市元素之间的关系结构。两个案例研究——智利瓦尔迪维亚和美国波士顿——展示了对比鲜明的表现:瓦尔迪维亚的结构性逆转,其中同质化的居住外围主导了层级聚类过程;以及波士顿的城郊空洞,尽管大都市整合,孤立的细分地块仍然存在。这些发现将城郊错位定位为一种与蔓延相关但区别于基于密度或外围性度量的结构维度;它可能独立发生,或代表蔓延先前未被识别的结构特征。在方法论上,我们应用成熟的渗流技术来揭示这一先前未被阐述的结构现象,从而能够检测城市系统内的层级错位。在概念上,我们引入城郊错位作为城市结构的一个新维度,通过复杂性视角帮助阐明关于蔓延和城郊化的辩论,并实现跨不同城市背景的核心-外围诊断。

英文摘要

This paper introduces peri urban dislocation as a structural condition that complements existing sprawl metrics by capturing hierarchical misalignments between inner city and peripheral areas. Whereas conventional measures emphasise density, land-use mix, or fragmentation, peri-urban dislocation reflects deeper divergences in the core periphery relational functional organisation of urban systems. We operationalise this concept using percolation analysis of street networks, revealing hierarchical patterns via clustering maps and dendrograms, providing a relational structure between urban elements. Two case studies, Valdivia, Chile, and Boston, USA, demonstrate contrasting manifestations: a structural reversal in Valdivia, where a homogeneous residential periphery dominates the hierarchical clustering process, and peri-urban voids in Boston, where isolated parcellations persist despite metropolitan consolidation. These findings position peri-urban dislocation as a structural dimension linked to sprawl yet distinct from metrics based on density or peripherality; one that may occur independently or represent a previously unidentified structural signature of sprawl. Methodologically, we apply established percolation techniques to expose this previously unarticulated structural phenomenon, enabling the detection of hierarchical misalignments within urban systems. Conceptually, we introduce peri urban dislocation as a new dimension of urban structure, helping articulate debates on sprawl and peri urbanisation through a complexity informed lens and enabling core periphery diagnostics across diverse urban contexts.

2606.12013 2026-06-11 physics.soc-ph 新提交

Emergent dilemma and periodic oscillation in the nonlinear interplay between epidemic and behavior

流行病与行为非线性相互作用中的涌现困境与周期振荡

Longzhao Liu, Hongwei Zheng, Yajing Hao, Qun Wang, Xin Wang, Shaoting Tang

AI总结 本研究通过耦合非线性行为响应与社会影响的共演化模型,揭示了高感染率下非药物干预(NPI)遵从性突降至零的社会困境,并发现社会影响可导致周期振荡,挑战了传统线性耦合观点。

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AI中文摘要

人类行为,特别是非药物干预(NPI),与流行病传播动态耦合。以往研究主要假设线性相互作用,而现实中的行为演化由非线性响应和社会影响驱动。本文将这些多方面机制纳入共演化模型,并解析推导出临界阈值。值得注意的是,随着感染率增长,NPI遵从性先上升后突然降至零。这一矛盾性下降表明出现了一种社会困境:在高感染率下,放弃NPI对个体最优,但有害地引发流行病患病率爆炸性激增。我们进一步表明,社会诱导的感染率高估会反直觉地促使个体放弃NPI。此外,与社会影响的相互作用引发周期振荡,反映了反复流行波动的悲剧循环。最后,我们在网络化人群中验证了这种NPI放弃困境的稳健性。我们的工作展示了流行病与行为共演化中丰富的涌现现象,挑战了关于这种耦合动力学的传统观点。

英文摘要

Human behaviors, particularly non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), are dynamically coupled with epidemic spreading. While prior studies mainly assume a linear interplay, real-world behavioral evolution is driven by nonlinear responses and social influence. Here, we incorporate these multifaceted mechanisms into a co-evolutionary model and analytically derive the critical thresholds. Notably, as the infection rate grows, NPI compliance initially rises but then abruptly drops to zero. This paradoxical decline indicates an emergent social dilemma: at high infection rates, abandoning NPIs is individually optimal but detrimentally triggers an explosive surge in epidemic prevalence. We further show that socially induced overestimation of the infection rate can counterintuitively prompt individuals to abandon NPIs. Moreover, the interplay with social influence induces periodic oscillations, reflecting a tragic cycle of recurrent epidemic waves. Furthermore, we validate the robustness of this NPI-abandonment dilemma in networked population. Our work illustrates rich emergent phenomena in the co-evolution of epidemic and behavior, challenging traditional views on this coupled dynamics.

2606.08972 2026-06-11 physics.soc-ph nlin.CG 版本更新

Three-dimensional Fundamental Diagrams of Five-neighbor Particle Cellular Automata

五邻居粒子元胞自动机的三维基本图

Kazuya Okamoto, Daisuke Takahashi

AI总结 针对二维基本图多值的五邻居粒子元胞自动机,通过引入第二密度使平均流唯一确定,构建三维基本图,并验证实值最大-加扩展下单值结构的保持性。

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17 pages
AI中文摘要

我们分析了五邻居粒子元胞自动机,其传统的二维基本图是多值的,但通过引入第二密度,平均流被唯一确定。我们首先考虑第二密度守恒的二元规则,然后检查第二密度不守恒但渐近收敛的规则。这些例子给出了三维基本图,其中平均流由粒子密度和第二密度决定。然后我们研究这种单值结构是否在实值最大-加扩展下保持不变。存在一些规则引入了两种不同的最大-加扩展,数值模拟表明两种扩展都保持相同的单值三维基本图。这些观察意味着,在构造实值最大-加扩展时,一致地选择流量函数和第二密度是重要的。

英文摘要

We analyze five-neighbor particle cellular automata whose conventional two-dimensional fundamental diagrams are multivalued, but whose mean flow is uniquely determined by introducing a second density. We first consider binary rules for which the second density is conserved, and then examine rules for which the second density is not conserved but converges asymptotically. These examples give three-dimensional fundamental diagrams in which the mean flow is determined by the particle density and the second density. We then investigate whether this single-valued structure is preserved under real-valued max-plus extensions. There are some rules where two different max-plus extensions are introduced, and numerical simulations show that both extensions preserve the same single-valued three-dimensional fundamental diagram. These observations imply that, in constructing real-valued max-plus extensions, it is important to choose the flux function and the second density consistently.

2511.13452 2026-06-11 physics.soc-ph cs.MA 版本更新

Collective decision-making with higher-order interactions on $d$-uniform hypergraphs

在$d$-一致超图上的高阶交互集体决策

Thierry Njougouo, Timoteo Carletti, Elio Tuci

AI总结 研究在$d$-一致超图上基于群体交互的舆论动力学模型,通过平均场分岔分析识别两个临界阈值,揭示交互组大小和品质比决定共识稳定性,且大组规模可能导致采纳劣质选项。

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AI中文摘要

理解群体交互如何影响舆论动态是研究集体行为的基础。在这项工作中,我们提出并研究了在$d$-一致超图上的舆论动力学模型,其中个体通过基于群体的(高阶)结构而非简单的成对连接进行交互。两种观点$A$和$B$各有一个品质$Q_A$和$Q_B$,智能体根据一个通用机制更新其观点,该机制考虑了支持任一观点的智能体的加权比例以及池化误差$\alpha$,后者是交互过程中信息丢失的代理。通过对平均场模型的分岔分析,我们确定了两个临界阈值$\alpha_{\text{crit}}^{(1)}$和$\alpha_{\text{crit}}^{(2)}$,它们界定了共识状态的稳定性区域。这些分析预测通过在随机和无标度超图上的大量基于智能体的模拟得到了验证。此外,分析框架表明,分岔结构和临界阈值独立于高阶网络的底层拓扑,仅取决于参数$d$(即交互组的大小)和品质比。最后,我们揭示了一个非平凡效应:大的交互组大小可能驱使系统采纳最差的选项。

英文摘要

Understanding how group interactions influence opinion dynamics is fundamental to the study of collective behavior. In this work, we propose and study a model of opinion dynamics on $d$-uniform hypergraphs, where individuals interact through group-based (higher-order) structures rather than simple pairwise connections. Each one of the two opinions $A$ and $B$ is characterized by a quality, $Q_A$ and $Q_B$, and agents update their opinions according to a general mechanism that takes into account the weighted fraction of agents supporting either opinion and the pooling error, $\alpha$, a proxy for the information lost during the interaction. Through bifurcation analysis of the mean-field model, we identify two critical thresholds, $\alpha_{\text{crit}}^{(1)}$ and $\alpha_{\text{crit}}^{(2)}$, which delimit stability regimes for the consensus states. These analytical predictions are validated through extensive agent-based simulations on both random and scale-free hypergraphs. Moreover, the analytical framework demonstrates that the bifurcation structure and critical thresholds are independent of the underlying topology of the higher-order network, depending solely on the parameters $d$, i.e., the size of the interaction groups, and the quality ratio. Finally, we bring to the fore a nontrivial effect: the large sizes of the interaction groups, could drive the system toward the adoption of the worst option.

2502.05255 2026-06-11 cs.SI cs.CY physics.soc-ph 版本更新

Incivility in Public Health Policy Discussions Spills Over to Public Engagement with Climate Issues

公共卫生政策讨论中的不文明行为溢出至公众对气候问题的参与

Hasti Narimanzadeh, Arash Badie-Modiri, Iuliia Smirnova, Ted Hsuan Yun Chen

AI总结 本研究利用COVID-19时期作为案例,通过分析Twitter和Reddit上的数据,发现围绕COVID-19的情感极化显著溢出到气候变化讨论中,表现为不文明行为增加,且这种溢出沿袭了疫情前的政治分歧。

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33 pages, 5 figures
AI中文摘要

情感极化和政治分类加剧了公众在科学-政策交汇点上对气候变化及其他问题的对抗。我们以COVID-19时期为案例,研究了Twitter和Reddit上公众参与气候变化和公共卫生时的不文明行为的跨领域溢出。我们发现强烈证据表明,围绕COVID-19的情感极化特征溢出到了气候变化领域。在不同的社交媒体系统中,COVID-19内容与气候讨论中的不文明行为相关。这些对抗加剧的模式对使科学与公共政策联系更突出的大流行事件反应敏感。观察到的溢出沿袭了疫情前的政治分歧,特别是反国际主义的民粹主义信念,这些信念将气候政策反对与疫苗犹豫联系起来。我们的发现显示了公众参与科学时的情感极化如何在政策领域间变得根深蒂固,这对公众如何参与和沟通气候变化及公共卫生等问题具有影响。

英文摘要

Affective polarization and political sorting drive public antagonism around climate change and other issues at the science-policy nexus. We study cross-domain spillover of incivility in public engagements with climate change and public health on Twitter and Reddit using the COVID-19 period as a case study. We find strong evidence of the signatures of affective polarization surrounding COVID-19 spilling into the climate change domain. Across different social media systems, COVID-19 content is associated with incivility in climate discussions. These patterns of increased antagonism were responsive to pandemic events that made the link between science and public policy more salient. The observed spillover activated along pre-pandemic political cleavages, specifically anti-internationalist populist beliefs, that linked climate policy opposition to vaccine hesitancy. Our findings show how affective polarization in public engagement with science becomes entrenched across policy domains, which has implications for how the public engages with and communicates about issues such as climate change and public health.

2110.07559 2026-06-11 astro-ph.EP physics.soc-ph physics.space-ph

PI -- Multimodal Planetary Defense

Philip Lubin

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194 pages, 148 figures. Published in Advances in Space Research (ASR) 10-22; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117722009395
英文摘要

We present a practical and effective method of planetary defense that allows for extremely short mitigation time scales if required as well as long time scale mitigation. This one system allows for virtually any required defense mode. In general, it uses much less launch mass with vastly shorter required response time than classical deflection techniques The method uses an array of small hypervelocity kinetic penetrators that pulverize and disassemble an asteroid or small comet. This approach works in both long warning time, as well as in short warning scenarios with intercepts of minutes to days before impact. In longer time intercept scenarios, the disassembled asteroid fragments largely miss the Earth. In short intercept scenarios, the asteroid fragments of maximum $\sim$10-meter diameter allow the Earth's atmosphere to act as a "beam dump" with fragment burn up and/or air burst, with the primary channel of energy going into spatially and temporally de-correlated shock waves. The effectiveness of the approach depends on the intercept time and size of the asteroid but allows for effective defense against asteroids in the 20-1000m diameter class and could virtually eliminate the threat. A 20m diameter asteroid ($\sim$0.5Mt, similar to Chelyabinsk) can be mitigated with a 100s prior to impact intercept with a 10m/s disruption. With ~1m/s internal disruption, a 5 hour prior to impact intercept of a 50m diameter asteroid ($\sim$10Mt yield, similar to Tunguska), a 1 day prior to impact intercept of 100m diameter asteroid ($\sim$100Mt yield), a 20 day prior to impact intercept of Apophis ($\sim$370m diameter, $\sim$4Gt yield). The use of active (explosive) penetrators including nuclear allows the same system to mitigate extremely large threats. A "single launcher" solution to planetary defense using existing launch vehicles that achieve positive C3 becomes a viable option.