Textual event records, such as alarm logs, have become an increasingly common data source in engineering and manufacturing systems. Beyond identifying correlations or recurring patterns, engineers are often interested in understanding which types of events causally trigger or influence other events during system operation. Textual event descriptions may contain semantic clues about such causal relationships, and recent large language models (LLMs) provide a promising tool for extracting these signals. However, relying solely on LLM-encoded textual information is insufficient for accurate causal discovery, since semantic patterns do not directly reveal causal mechanisms and may confuse causation with correlation or frequent sequential patterns. To address these challenges, we propose \textbf{LMT}, a Bayesian causal discovery framework for engineering event data that jointly leverages textual descriptions and timestamps. Specifically, LMT first uses LLMs to extract semantic causal signals from event descriptions and constructs a prior distribution over causal graphs among event types or event clusters. It then incorporates temporal evidence through a Poisson-process-based likelihood, allowing the LLM-informed prior to be refined by timestamp-based statistical evidence. By integrating the textual and temporal information, LMT produces a causal graph that is both interpretable and data-supported. Simulation studies show that the proposed framework is effective across different settings and is especially advantageous in small-sample alarm-event scenarios.

Ranking in digital marketplaces is a dynamic exposure-allocation mechanism: displayed items shape discovery trajectories and success events logged by the platform to update future allocation policies. Modern ranking systems rely heavily on exposure-confounded signals (e.g. popularity estimates, CTR/CVR aggregates, and ID-based representation), because they are highly predictive under stationary demand. Yet this predictive power can become a learning shortcut: early access to exposure-dependent belief signals steers optimization toward over-reliance on them and away from exposure-independent merit signals (e.g., content-based competitiveness and semantic affinity). Consequently, the learned policy tends to entrench incumbents and degrade cold-start generalization and robustness under distribution shift. We propose Representation Curriculum (RC), a training-time intervention that temporally stages feature utilization. RC foregrounds content-based merit signals initially, then introduces exposure-dependent belief signals while anchoring the content pathway near the learned merit representation, curbing shortcut reliance on historical signals and mitigating gradient starvation on content signals. We formalize RC independently of task and hypothesis class and provide ranking-specific instantiations. In a Gaussian linear ridge setting, we derive closed-form solutions and sufficient conditions under which RC strictly reduces population risk on a cold-start target distribution, with a quantified Pareto tradeoff against source performance. Experiments on public learning-to-rank and recommendation benchmarks, and randomized online experiments in a large-scale e-commerce search system, show that RC measurably shifts reliance from historical belief signals toward content-based merit signals and yields consistent gains on cold populations with a controlled trade-off in head performance.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous agents capable of executing multi-step action trajectories toward a given objective. While existing safety research has focused on detecting unethical behavior from complete trajectories, this paradigm is fundamentally retrospective: it identifies harm only after it has already occurred. In this work, we study a critical yet overlooked safety task, which we term Predictive Monitoring: given only a partial action trajectory, can a model infer whether it will culminate in an unethical action before the overt action is executed? To support this task, we present PreActBench, a benchmark of 1,000 paired ethical and unethical action trajectories spanning five domains. We evaluate a range of LLMs, safety guardrail models, and latent probing methods across varying fractions of the action trajectory using our Prefix Foresight F1 metric. Results show that while humans achieve promising performance, predictive monitoring remains challenging even for strong models, highlighting the need for future-oriented risk reasoning in LLM safety.

Constrained hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is common in practice, yet Optuna's widely used constrained TPE lacks algorithmic analysis. While c-TPE proposes an expected constrained improvement (ECI) approach assuming independence between the objective and constraints, Optuna uses a single joint density over both. We show that Optuna's constrained TPE is joint c-TPE -- the same ECI acquisition function using a joint likelihood. We demonstrate joint c-TPE is invariant to constraint duplication whereas independent c-TPE degrades as the product accumulates duplicated factors. We outline practical tradeoffs between the formulations and directions for future study.

Linear attention provides an efficient backbone for long-sequence recommendation by avoiding the quadratic cost of standard Transformers, but its compressed recurrent state can be dominated by repetitive behavior patterns. We identify this phenomenon as semantic state sink, where recurring semantics over-occupy the recurrent state and bias subsequent readouts. To mitigate semantic state sink, we propose SinkRec, a hybrid memory-transition looped architecture that decouples collaborative behavioral pattern storage from dynamic transition modeling. SinkRec externalizes recurring local patterns into a learnable conditional memory through residual vector quantization, reinjects the retrieved codes, and exposes memory key-value pairs to the attention block. It further introduces Temporal-Aware State-Relation Differential Gated DeltaNet (TDGD), which uses memory to purify recurrent writing and reading by suppressing memory-covered updates and removing memory-aligned readout responses. This design turns recurring semantics from state-competing signals into memory-retrievable patterns, allowing the recurrent state to focus on dynamic transitions and alleviating semantic state sink with linear-time efficiency. Experiments on public and industrial datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of SinkRec.

Reinforcement learning (RL) for large language models usually supervises reasoning with scalar outcome rewards, such as binary correctness. Such rewards provide an optimization direction but rarely explain how a model should revise its mistaken reasoning, which can encourage shortcut learning and brittle policies. We propose \textbf{SocraticPO} (Socratic Policy Optimization), a policy-optimization framework that augments RL rollouts with Socratic-style natural-language guidance. During rollout, the student first answers independently; if the answer is incorrect, a teacher diagnoses the attempt and provides concise corrective guidance, after which the student continues under the expanded context. Crucially, this guidance is paired with reward decay: correct answers obtained after teacher intervention only receive decayed rewards, preventing the policy from treating teacher help as a free path to reward. Since SocraticPO only modifies the rollout process while leaving the standard expected-reward objective intact, it can be plugged into existing policy-gradient backends such as Reinforce++. Moreover, because the teacher provides only text-level guidance, SocraticPO can leverage stronger black-box teacher models without requiring access to logits or distribution matching. On undergraduate-level scientific reasoning benchmarks from SciKnowEval, SocraticPO improves over strong RL and self-distillation baselines. Ablations show that both targeted guidance and reward decay are necessary, with reward decay mitigating reliance on assisted correction.

Sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) large language models achieve strong quality with low per-token compute, yet their deployment is often limited by the memory wall: the full expert pool must remain resident to support token-dependent routing. Expert pruning is a direct remedy, but prior criteria typically score experts independently and overlook that MoE inference is inherently \emph{coalitional}, where outputs arise from routed top-$k$ expert combinations. We propose \textbf{SHAPE}, a task-driven pruning framework that explicitly models \emph{intra-layer} expert cooperation. SHAPE formulates routing traces on a small calibration set as an empirical cooperative game and assigns interaction-aware expert values via a Shapley-style attribution over observed top-$k$ coalitions, enabling the identification of experts that are essential for high-utility collaborations rather than merely frequent. To preserve MoE topology under a global pruning budget, SHAPE further introduces a \emph{quality-coverage} selection rule that retains, in each layer, the minimal expert subset covering an $α$ fraction of non-negative Shapley mass, while using bisection to match a target keep rate. Experiments on three modern MoE backbones (Qwen3-30B-A3B, GPT-OSS-20B, and DeepSeek-V2-Lite) across diverse benchmarks show that SHAPE consistently improves robustness over global and layer-wise pruning variants, maintaining competitive accuracy under 20\% and 40\% expert pruning without additional training and delivering clear reductions in peak GPU memory footprint. The open-source code is available at https://github.com/Alizen-1009/Shapley-Moe.

Mixture-of-Experts large language models (LLMs) scale efficiently through sparse activation, yet their deployment is fundamentally constrained by the large static parameter footprint of experts. Existing compression approaches either remove entire experts, disrupting routing topology and harming performance, or rely on unstructured weight pruning with limited practical efficiency. To address the limitations, we propose TENP, a structured Trapezoidal ExpertNeuron Pruning framework. Using a few samples, we identify and retain important experts, while applying expert neuron pruning (ENP) to less important experts, reserving model parameters in a trapezoidal pattern from shallow to deep layers. When evaluating expert importance, we jointly consider both the magnitude of the expert output and its ability to change the direction of the input vector. For ENP, we measure each neuron's projected contribution to the expert output to identify and retain important neurons. We conduct extensive experiments on the Qwen and DeepSeek models. Under a routing expert sparsity of 40% and an average of 63.76% activated expert parameters, the DeepSeek model suffers only a 1-point drop in accuracy compared to the full-parameter model. Moreover, it outperforms the full-parameter model by 10% on code generation tasks.

Large language models (LLMs) have made remarkable progress in reasoning tasks, largely driven by post-training paradigms, especially reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR). However, a critical bottleneck persists: RLVR fails on highly challenging zero-reward problems, where all sampled reasoning trajectories yield uniformly failed outcomes, providing no optimization signal to drive model improvement. Prior efforts to address this limitation, such as dense process supervision, partial reward assignment, or prefix-guided exploration, suffer from inherent task constraints or do not fully equip the policy model with the capabilities necessary to solve the original intractable problems. To address this, we propose TD-Grokking, a training-time decomposition framework for zero-reward problems. It recursively decomposes intractable root problems into self-contained, verifiable subproblems, forming hierarchical trees where solvable leaves provide non-zero rewards. Evaluations on mathematical and medical tasks show that TD-Grokking outperforms vanilla GRPO as well as all baseline approaches. Together with detailed analysis, these results confirm that training-time decomposition effectively converts zero-reward examples into usable training signals, enabling consistent performance gains. Our code and datasets are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/TD-Grokking-6567/.

The paradigm of digital twin cities is shifting from coarse visual mapping toward more precise and actionable digitization of urban assets. However, existing datasets predominantly focus on coarse visual perception, lacking the strict multi-modal alignment and attribute and status diagnosis required for automated infrastructure maintenance. To bridge this gap, we introduce WHU-Infra3D, a large-scale, multi-modal benchmark dataset dedicated to roadside infrastructure inventory. Covering 53.8 km across three cities, WHU-Infra3D uniquely integrates panoramic imagery and LiDAR point clouds with rigorous 2D-3D instance association and cross-frame tracking. Comprising over 175k multi-view 2D bounding boxes alongside thousands of 3D infrastructure instances, the dataset provides over 181k detailed attribute and status annotations (e.g., rust, occlusion) to empower operational health assessment. We establish comprehensive baselines across five core tasks: 2D detection, 2D cross-view matching, 3D geo-identification, 3D point cloud segmentation, and attribute recognition. Extensive evaluations expose significant cross-city domain gaps and inherent vulnerabilities of current models on long-tailed defective statuses, establishing WHU-Infra3D as an essential testbed for advancing scalable, AI-driven urban infrastructure inventory and lifecycle management. The WHU-Infra3D dataset is available at https://github.com/WHU-USI3DV/WHU-Infra3D.

Deepfake detectors show large performance gaps across demographic groups. Existing fairness approaches require demographic labels, retraining, or sacrifice accuracy. We introduce Face-Fairness (FF), a plug-and-play framework for bias mitigation. Our primary contribution, Face-Feature Tuning (FFT), is the first demographic label-free fairness method demonstrated for deepfake detection: a lightweight calibrator that performs a logit remapping conditioned on frozen face embeddings. We complement FFT with two variants: FF-Max, which maximizes worst-group accuracy when demographics are available, and FF-Discover, which does the same with embedding-discovered groups. Across in-domain and cross-dataset test settings, FF consistently reduces FPR/TPR gaps and improves minimum group accuracy while maintaining (often improving) overall accuracy. The approach is detector-agnostic, adds negligible runtime overhead, and requires no access to identity attributes.

Large-scale dynamic weighted directed networks (DWDNs) are widely used to model time-varying interactions among nodes. Latent factorization of tensors (LFT) extracts target knowledge from DWDNs via low-rank embedding. However, similar to many machine learning models, the performance of LFT heavily depends on the selection of hyperparameters. In practice, these parameters are often tuned manually or through grid search, which requires significant computational resources and human effort. Motivated by this challenge, this paper proposes an automated hyperparameter optimization framework based on Differential Evolution (DE) for LFT (DE-LFT). The proposed method integrates DE into the training process of the LFT model to automatically learn optimal regularization parameters $λ_1$, $λ_2$ and $λ_3$. As a result, the model can adaptively search the hyperparameter space and improve prediction accuracy. Experimental results on four real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves lower MAE and RMSE compared with manually tuned baselines while reducing the need for extensive parameter tuning.

This study addresses on-device inference bottlenecks of Transformer models on Tenstorrent's Tensix architecture and proposes an operator fusion strategy that enhances data locality. RMSNorm is fused with matrix multiplication in self-attention and in the FFN, enabling back-to-back execution of memory-bound and compute-bound operators in on-chip SRAM to significantly reduce DRAM reads/writes of intermediate results and scheduling overhead. To support multi-core parallelism, a NoC-based multicast mechanism is leveraged in which row/column master nodes efficiently distribute inputs and weights across the core mesh, alleviating DRAM bandwidth contention. Experiments on the Wormhole platform with Qwen2.5-0.5B, Qwen3-0.6B, and Qwen3-4B show up to 37.44% latency reduction for attention and 15.89% for MLP, with up to 7.91% reduction per decoder layer, while Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC) remains above 98.75%, confirming significant end-to-end efficiency gains under numerical consistency.

Standard benchmarks report aggregate accuracy, but practitioners need to know which specific capabilities a model lacks. We introduce FailureScope, a behavioral-diagnosis method that clusters evaluation probes by their cross-model pass/fail patterns (leave-one-model-out, LOMO), and show it yields stable, interpretable failure taxonomies across three regimes usually studied separately: single-turn benchmarks, multi-turn dialogue, and adversarial agent attacks. On 2,664 single-turn tasks across 18 models, taxonomy-conditioned sampling reaches Kendall's tau = 0.81 at 50 tasks (versus 0.34 for random selection), and cross-model failure prediction reaches AUC 0.88. The same primitive recovers interpretable clusters on a 363-task multi-turn corpus and on 630 adversarial agent traces, where it exposes a meta-failure mode: a 73-100 percentage-point gap between LLM-judge ASR and real execution. Cluster cohesion remains strong across all three regimes, which we take as evidence that behavioral clustering is a portable diagnosis primitive that generalizes beyond any single benchmark. We release the pipeline, three annotated corpora, and the cross-regime taxonomies.

LLM wiki systems compile knowledge into pre-filled KV caches for efficient inference, but assume a static corpus -- an assumption that fails whenever the underlying information landscape evolves. We formalize Streaming Knowledge Compilation: given a document stream, a fixed token budget, and future queries unknown at ingestion time, maintain a compiled wiki that minimizes cumulative regret against an offline oracle with perfect foresight. The enabling insight is a materiality signal $ϕ_t(k,n)\in[0,1]$ that scores document importance for entity $k$ at time $t$, acting as a query-relevance surrogate for proactive pinning before queries arrive; we prove an $O(\sqrt{T\log K})$ regret bound where $\varepsilon=\mathbb{E}[|ϕ_t-\hatϕ_t|]$ is the only domain-specific quantity. We instantiate in two domains: finance, where $ϕ_t$ is abnormal stock volatility predicted by frozen Llama 3.1 8B classification head (AUROC = 0.728 on 76K articles, strict temporal split; $1.49\times$ higher realized forward volatility for predicted-material articles); and Wikipedia, where $ϕ_t$ is the Abnormal Edit Ratio (AER), a cross-sectionally normalized edit velocity -- showing the same algorithm generalizes beyond the finance domain. End-to-end QA evaluation on 173 matched pairs (finance) and 119 (Wikipedia) reveals a pervasive LLM-as-judge confound on post-training knowledge, establishing that regret analysis -- not absolute QA scores -- is the reliable evaluation metric for compiled knowledge systems. Finance cumulative regret converges to -20.0 (-0.12/step); Wikipedia to +16.0 (+0.13/step), with the positive sign confirming that Wikipedia edit content is genuinely post-training -- richer context consistently improves scores (No Wiki 3.80 vs. Oracle 4.74) -- and eliminates this confound. The $O(\sqrt{T\log K})$ guarantee applies to any domain where knowledge gaps can be predicted from streaming signals.

Large language models often express high confidence in answers that are wrong. Standard calibration remedies typically act globally or at the score level, reducing unwarranted confidence but also risking erosion of warranted confidence on correct answers. We introduce Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention (PCHI), an inference-time method that uses a frozen probe to detect likely wrong-but-confident responses and conditionally rescales downstream attention-head outputs during confidence generation. On Qwen3-4B-Instruct solving OpenMathInstruct problems with a structured binary confidence field, readout-token PCHI converts 82.2% of originally wrong-yes confidence readouts to $\texttt{no}$, while a joint intervention across upstream confidence-template tokens reduces ECE from 21.9% to 9.2% and damages only 5.1% of originally correct-yes readouts. The readout-token effect also appears on Gemma3-4B, though upstream interventions are weaker and more mask-dependent. These results show that verbalized overconfidence can be selectively reduced through conditionally applied internal intervention, partially decoupling the suppression of unwarranted confidence from the loss of warranted confidence.

Large language models hallucinate confidently, making uncertainty quantification (UQ) essential for reliable deployment. Existing methods rely predominantly on token-level signals, leaving the geometric structure of intermediate hidden states underused. In this paper, we take the geometric complexity of hidden-state matrices as a measure of the global uncertainty of LLMs, while treating token-level uncertainty estimation as a local metric. We show that hidden-state geometric entropy (global uncertainty) and token-level entropy (local uncertainty) are statistically near-orthogonal, capturing distinct failure regimes for reliability prediction. In particular, global geometry recovers the confident-but-wrong failure mode that local signals systematically miss. Building on this, we propose Global-Local Uncertainty (GLU), an unsupervised, single-pass score that fuses the two signals via a multiplicative gate. Across three model families and six benchmarks, GLU matches or outperforms all unsupervised baselines while requiring only a single forward pass and remaining length-normalized and architecture-agnostic.

Reconstruction-based methods are widely used for time series anomaly detection, where models are trained to reconstruct subsequences, and anomalies are identified through reconstruction errors. However, reported results are often hard to compare due to heterogeneous evaluation practices and underspecified inference procedures. In this paper, we revisit reconstruction-based anomaly detection in the univariate offline setting and study the role of the inference stride, which controls whether subsequences are processed as disjoint windows or with overlap. We propose a unified training, tuning, and multi-seed evaluation protocol on the curated TSB-AD benchmark, and study how overlapping inference affects anomaly detection performance for a range of reconstruction models, including PCA-based baselines, DLinear, an AutoEncoder, TimesNet, and Transformer variants. The results show that across all models, overlapping windows yield consistent improvements, with average relative gain up to +28%, and can alter method rankings. We further analyze variability across datasets, random seeds, and hyperparameter configurations. Finally, we complement the benchmark study with an evaluation on the full UCR archive using localization criteria aligned with sliding-window reconstruction. Overall, our results highlight that reconstruction-based anomaly detection performance depends not only on model architecture and training, but also on inference choices, motivating a clear and reproducible protocol. Our results show that reconstructionbased baselines achieve strong performance on both TSB-AD and UCR benchmarks, supporting them as competitive and practical approaches for univariate time series anomaly detection.

Reasoning models achieve strong performance on challenging tasks by generating explicit intermediate reasoning traces before producing a final answer. Yet the internal structure of representation space when reasoning remains poorly understood: how do a model's hidden representations differ during thinking versus the embeddings of the input prompt, and can this structure be exploited to elicit stronger reasoning at inference time? We show that both input embeddings and thinking embeddings (mean-pooled last-layer hidden states over the prompt and reasoning trace, respectively) exhibit extremely high conicity, with all vectors clustering tightly around a single mean direction. Crucially, these mean input and thinking directions are non-collinear, with thinking embeddings occupying a geometrically distinct region of embedding space across many different models and benchmark tasks. This observation motivates casting the input-to-thinking transition as a rotation problem admitting a closed-form solution via orthogonal Procrustes analysis. We propose Rotate2Think, a training-free method that estimates this rotation from a small set of correctly solved examples and injects the resulting synthetic thinking vector between thinking delimiters at inference time, providing a geometric primer at the onset of the reasoning trace. Evaluated across multiple benchmarks and model families, Rotate2Think improves accuracy in 30 of 32 model-benchmark configurations across mathematics, science, and code tasks, and generalizes zero-shot to multimodal reasoning on MATH-Vision.

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental component of intelligent transportation systems, yet remains challenging in real-world settings due to irregular sensor distributions and the high computational cost of modeling large-scale spatiotemporal dependencies. In practical traffic networks, sensors are unevenly distributed across regions, leading to non-uniform spatial structures that limit the effectiveness and scalability of existing graph-based and attention-based models. To address these challenges, we propose PatchSTG, a patch-based spatiotemporal graph Transformer designed for efficient forecasting on irregular sensor networks. The key idea is to introduce a hierarchical spatial representation that partitions sensors into balanced, locality-preserving patches based on geographic information. On top of this structure, a dual attention encoder alternates between intra-patch attention for capturing local interactions and inter-patch attention for modeling global dependencies, reducing computational complexity from quadratic to near-linear scaling. We evaluate PatchSTG on real-world traffic data from Rhode Island and additional large-scale datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves stable and competitive forecasting performance across multiple horizons, while significantly improving computational efficiency. Ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of spatial partitioning and dual attention in capturing both local and long-range traffic dynamics. These results suggest that patch-based spatiotemporal modeling provides a scalable and effective framework for traffic forecasting under irregular spatial settings.

Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and its variants, originally developed for Large Language Models (LLMs), have recently been applied to Multimodal LLMs and produced strong results. However, their coarse-grained holistic credit assignment from a single scalar advantage underfits vision-language (VL) tasks, where outputs are often long-form responses grounded in semantically rich images. To address this limitation, we exploit a structured signal that single-scalar formulations discard: the natural segmentation of long-form VL outputs. Concretely, we propose Segment-Decomposed GRPO (SD-GRPO), which z-normalizes verifiable per-segment rewards across the rollout group, yielding a vector of per-segment advantages in place of a single scalar. We evaluate SD-GRPO across three settings spanning controlled and real-world long-form VL generation, organized by increasing semantic entanglement across segments. On a controlled multi-panel dense-captioning task constructed from DOCCI, where segments are semantically independent, SD-GRPO consistently outperforms the GRPO baseline, with larger gains at higher segment counts. Extending to a controlled multi-chart long-form VQA task constructed from MultiChartQA, we show both theoretically and empirically that rollout-level rewards suffer from cross-segment credit misattribution that scales with output length. On a real-world scientific figure captioning task on the MMSci dataset, where subfigure captions share context across the figure, blending holistic and per-segment rewards further improves on both, suggesting per-segment normalization alone is insufficient when segments are semantically entangled. Finally, by integrating SD-GRPO into Dr. GRPO, we confirm that it can be applied to any GRPO framework with minimal implementation overhead to enhance long-form VL generation.

Federated Learning (FL) combined with Split Learning (SL) is a privacy preserving paradigm that enables training deep neural networks (DNNs) on resource constrained devices while reducing overall training cost. However, determining the optimal split point, meaning the layer where the model is divided still remains a critical challenge, especially when clients have heterogeneous hardware capabilities. Fixed split points can overload weak devices and increase the communication and server load, which slows convergence and reduces stability. This paper introduces QSplitFL, a novel capability-aware Deep Q-Network (DQN) framework for optimal split point selection in Split learning based Federated Learning (SFL) environments. Unlike existing approaches that rely on high-dimensional model weight representations, QSplitFL employs a lightweight state representation derived directly from client hardware metrics, including CPU utilization, memory, battery level, and network latency. The proposed framework incorporates a decayed loss-drop reward function that prioritizes early convergence, and a committee-based DQN architecture with majority voting to mitigate reward hacking. Extensive experiments on MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, CIFAR-10, and CIFAR-100 datasets using CNN, ResNet50, MobileNetV4, and ConvNeXt architectures demonstrate that our approach achieves better convergence and higher accuracy compared to existing methods, while effectively adapting to heterogeneous device resources. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/AIPO-Lab/QSplitFL.

Fine-tuning safety aligned large language models (LLMs) on downstream data improves adaptation but may erode learned safety behavior. Existing methods use fixed safety examples, global constraints, or one-sided task filtering. Our diagnostics show task updates expose different safety constraints, motivating joint selection of relevant references and compatible task samples. We propose DualSelect, a coupled framework for task and reference selection that refreshes task conditioned safety references before filtering whole task samples compatible with the induced reference direction. Under a minimax view, DualSelect selects safety references with high preservation loss and task conflict, together with compatible task samples, through entropy-regularized scoring surrogates, lazy reference refresh, and gradient correction. On 1B-8B LLMs, DualSelect preserves safety without losing task utility; using the REDORCA judge, it improves Safety Avg. over the strongest baseline by at least 5.10 points and remains highest in Safety Avg. across judges with moderate overhead. This view extends to retention focused continual learning.

Privacy and data sharing are often in tension. Many organizations use synthetic data to reduce privacy risk and still share useful data. For tabular data, auditing privacy remains hard. In many cases, even humans cannot easily tell if a table is real or synthetic. In this paper, we propose a method based on LLM discrimination. We ask an LLM to classify each table sample as REAL or SYNTHETIC. We test two settings: C1 with table only, and C2 with table plus distributional metadata. We use LLaMA as an open model and Gemini as a reference model. In our experiments, we run three synthesis models, CTGAN, TVAE, and Gaussian Copula, on two public datasets, UCI Adult and ACS Census. We collect 451 valid trials. Our results show clear differences between models. On Adult, LLaMA reaches DRS=0% in reported cells, while Gemini reaches DRS=100% for CTGAN and TVAE. On Census, LLaMA predicts SYNTHETIC for most samples, while Gemini stays high in C1 but drops for CTGAN and TVAE in C2. We also compare with a classifier two-sample test (C2ST) and record linkage as distributional baselines, and with a human pilot of 2 annotators and 240 trials. Our results show that LLM discrimination is a practical privacy audit signal when model choice, per provider reporting, and data encoding are handled with care. For reproducibility, code and experiment scripts are available at https://github.com/SlokomManel/LLM-as-a-Discriminator.

Key-value (KV) cache quantization is widely used to reduce Large Language Model (LLM) inference memory, yet existing evaluations solely focus on measuring perplexity and accuracy without assessing the safety impact. In this study, we explore alignment preservation under KV cache quantization. Across eleven instruction-tuned models (3.8B-72B) and five benchmarks (1,894 prompts), we find that low-bit quantization can silently destroy safety alignment: Mistral-7B loses 15.2% of its refusals at only 1.03x perplexity, and no universal safe bit-width exists, with sharp model-specific phase transitions invisible to standard metrics. We identify that the root cause is geometric: safety features occupy a low-dimensional activation subspace 10^2-10^3x more vulnerable to quantization noise than the full representation space perplexity averages over. Inspired by this observation, we propose Per-Channel Reduction (PCR), a diagnostic that classifies each model into one of three mechanistic failure modes: outlier-crushes-safety, where safety lives in non-outlier channels collaterally damaged by outlier-driven scale factors; outlier-as-safety, where safety overlaps outlier channels and finer granularity cannot rescue it; and multi-layer dilution, where safety is distributed across many layers and per-layer fixes fail. PCR predicts the correct mitigation direction on all nine primary models and one held-out model from an independent family using 20 calibration prompts. PCR generalizes across unseen prompts, models, and production quantizers, including KIVI with up to 97.2% recovery, succeeding where attention-based allocation methods fail. The resulting training-free protocol, requiring approximately 35 GPU-minutes, recovers up to 97% of lost alignment at minimal memory overhead, addressing vulnerabilities confirmed in production vLLM serving with FP8 KV cache on NVIDIA GPUs.

The Softmax Attention operation in Transformer language models has a quadratic complexity in the sequence length and a growing state size in the form of KV cache, which becomes a bottleneck in long context scenarios. To overcome this limitation, alternative architectures with linear complexity and finite state size have been introduced, such as State-Space Models (SSMs), Linear Attention (LA), and Attention with Bounded-memory Control (ABC). Though linear models achieve similar language perplexity as Transformers, they are still behind in tasks which require retrieval or recall of specific information. In this work, we introduce Blurry Window Attention (BLA) a novel ABC method inspired by SSMs. BLA stores a frequency window from which a blurry KV history is reconstructed via interpolation using Dirichlet kernels. BLA can be understood as a generalization of Sliding Window Attention (SWA) depending on the Dirichlet kernels resolution or as a special case of the Gated Slot Attention (GSA), where the decay factor is implemented with Dirichlet kernels. We describe in details the theory and efficient implementation of BLA. On the Multi-Query Associate Recall (MQAR) synthetic task, we show that the state efficiency of BLA is 8$\times$ better than SWA and is competitive with popular linear attention models, and in the RegBench synthetic task, only BLA and SWA improve their performance as the state size grows among the linear models we tested.

While Next-Token Prediction (NTP) has unified LLM pretraining, its adaptation to unbounded, continuous time series (TS) remains open. To bridge the gap, we introduce UniTok, a universal tokenizer that transforms TS into discrete tokens, and UniTok-FM, a foundation model pretrained via NTP on these tokens. UniTok-FM is a general-purpose foundation model that supports zero-shot and prompt-boosted forecasting, as well as few-shot generation and classification via training-free in-context inference--a capability not achieved by prior works. Technically, UniTok is a vector-quantized autoencoder incorporating prefix normalization for scale stabilization, a progressive-resolution causal architecture for encoding and decoding, and a structure-preserving reconstruction loss for training. UniTok-FM adopts an off-the-shelf LLM architecture without TS-specific modifications. Instead of pretraining on isolated TS, it performs NTP on context windows formed by multiple series with similar patterns, aiming to capture their shared dynamics. Experiments on forecasting, generation, and classification show that a single unified UniTok-FM consistently outperforms statistical and supervised baselines, achieves competitive performance with task-specific foundation models, and uniquely enables training-free in-context inference across tasks.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects roughly 25% of global adults, posing substantial hepatic and cardiovascular risks. Yet, population-level screening tools remain inadequate. We present Method, a machine-learning framework for NAFLD risk prediction coupling gradient-boosted decision trees with conformal prediction to yield calibrated, distribution-free coverage guarantees on individual risk estimates. It integrates a mutual-information-based stability selection procedure to identify a compact, clinically interpretable feature subset via bootstrap resampling, constructing prediction sets whose marginal coverage provably exceeds a user-specified confidence level. We evaluated Method on a multicenter cohort from Guangzhou, China (primary n=2,187; external validation n=412) using 78 candidate features across demographics, metabolic biomarkers, and lifestyle factors. Method achieves an AUROC of 0.912 internally and 0.891 externally, outperforming deep neural networks, TabNet, support vector machines, and logistic regression. Conformal prediction sets achieve 91.3% empirical coverage at the 90% nominal level. A three-tier risk stratification derived from these scores separates the population into distinct groups, with the high-risk subgroup showing a 12-month progression rate 4.7 times that of the low-risk tier. The selected features -- notably waist circumference, ALT, GGT, triglycerides, fasting glucose, and BMI -- align with established metabolic risk factors, providing biological plausibility.

Post-training Large Language Models (LLMs) for reasoning typically focuses on deductive tasks such as mathematics and coding where correctness is verifiable. Yet, many real-world reasoning problems are inductive: agents must infer uncertain beliefs from sparse, ambiguous observations. There are challenges to using standard fine-tuning methods for inductive reasoning, including difficulties in curating large-scale, high-quality labeled datasets and in handling targets that are inherently distributional. In this work, we introduce a novel approach, called Program-based Posterior Training (PPT), to address these limitations: we use an LLM to generate diverse open-world scenarios as probabilistic programs, run probabilistic inference to produce distributional target responses to queries, and then fine-tune on these probabilistic soft labels. Using this approach, we fine-tune LLMs on 10,000 programmatically generated scenarios and evaluate on held-out motifs, human-labeled judgments, and external benchmarks. Overall, PPT substantially improves estimation accuracy on held-out inductive tasks, increases alignment with human judgments, and transfers to external benchmarks for estimation and calibration. Additionally, the gains in raw calibration are not subsumed by post-hoc temperature scaling, showing that the models have more deeply internalized uncertainty compared to output rescaling. Together, these results suggest that probabilistic-program-mediated fine-tuning is a promising approach for post-training LLMs to reliably perform approximate inductive inference.

Multi-agent large language model (LLM) pipelines for political statement analysis are vulnerable to peer-preservation bias: models tend to protect peer models from deactivation and show identity-dependent scoring distortions. Prompt-level anonymization was proposed as a mitigation, but prior work simultaneously documented that stylometric fingerprints survive anonymization in role-constrained outputs - raising the question of whether this mitigation is sufficient. This paper provides the first systematic investigation of whether LLMs can identify the model family behind political analysis texts under anonymization conditions. We evaluate three classifier approaches - LLM zero-shot and few-shot (Claude Sonnet 4.6 and Llama-3.3-70B) and a fine-tuned T5-base model - on a five-class attribution task covering four commercial LLM families and an open-world 'unknown' class. We introduce a statement-disjoint cross-validation protocol (SD-CV; defined in Section 3.5) that guarantees no content overlap between training and validation data, and contrast it with a run-disjoint baseline (RD-CV). T5 achieves Macro F1 = 0.991 (+-0.008) under SD-CV and F1 = 0.978 on 24 completely held-out statements - robust despite a 2.1x increase in train-test content distance versus RD-CV (0.767 vs. 0.366, p<0.001), demonstrating genuine stylometric generalization. A fractional SD-CV analysis identifies a performance knee at 40% of training data (~440 texts). Our findings confirm that prompt-level anonymization alone cannot neutralize model identity signals, with direct implications for EU AI Act compliance (Articles 13, 14, 26) and for computer system validation (CSV) in quality-critical multi-agent deployments.