Transformer-based few-shot learning for modeling Electricity Consumption Profiles with minimal data across thousands of domains
基于Transformer的少样本学习:以最少数据跨数千个领域建模电力消费曲线
Weijie Xia, Gao Peng, Chenguang Wang, Peter Palensky, Eric Pauwels, Pedro P. Vergara
AI总结 针对电力消费曲线建模中数据稀缺问题,提出一种结合Transformer和高斯混合模型的免微调少样本学习框架,仅需1.6%数据即可准确恢复复杂分布,优于现有方法。
详情
- Journal ref
- International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Volume/Issue (February 2026), Article 111575
电力消费曲线(ECP)对于配电系统的运行和规划至关重要,尤其是在太阳能电池板和电动汽车等低碳技术日益普及的背景下。传统的ECP建模方法通常假设有足够的ECP数据可用。然而,在实践中,由于隐私问题或缺乏计量设备,ECP数据的可访问性有限。少样本学习(FSL)已成为数据稀缺场景下ECP建模的一种有前景的解决方案。然而,标准的FSL方法(例如用于图像的方法)不适用于ECP建模,因为(1)这些方法通常假设有多个具有充足数据的源域和多个目标域。但在ECP建模中,可能存在数千个源域(例如具有中等数据量的家庭)和数千个目标域(例如需要建模ECP的家庭)。(2)标准FSL方法通常涉及繁琐的知识迁移机制,例如预训练和微调。为了解决这些局限性,本文提出了一种新颖的FSL框架,将Transformer与高斯混合模型(GMM)相结合用于ECP建模。所提出的方法无需微调,计算效率高,即使在数据极其有限的情况下也具有鲁棒性。结果表明,我们的方法可以用最少的ECP数据(例如,仅占完整域数据集的1.6%)准确恢复复杂的ECP分布,并且在ECP建模背景下优于最先进的时间序列建模方法。
Electricity Consumption Profiles (ECPs) are crucial for operating and planning power distribution systems, especially with the increasing number of low-carbon technologies such as solar panels and electric vehicles. Traditional ECP modeling methods typically assume the availability of sufficient ECP data. However, in practice, the accessibility of ECP data is limited due to privacy issues or the absence of metering devices. Few-shot learning (FSL) has emerged as a promising solution for ECP modeling in data-scarce scenarios. Nevertheless, standard FSL methods, such as those used for images, are unsuitable for ECP modeling because (1) these methods usually assume several source domains with sufficient data and several target domains. However, in the context of ECP modeling, there may be thousands of source domains, e.g., households with a moderate amount of data, and thousands of target domains, e.g., households that ECP are required to be modeled. (2) Standard FSL methods usually involve cumbersome knowledge transfer mechanisms, such as pre-training and fine-tuning. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a novel FSL framework that integrates Transformers with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) for ECP modeling. The proposed approach is fine-tuning-free, computationally efficient, and robust even with extremely limited data. Results show that our method can accurately restore the complex ECP distribution with a minimal amount of ECP data (e.g., only 1.6% of the complete domain dataset) and outperforms state-of-the-art time series modeling methods in the context of ECP modeling.