Pixel-space diffusion has re-emerged as a promising alternative to latent-space generation because it avoids the representation bottleneck introduced by VAEs. Yet most existing methods still treat image generation as a frequency-homogeneous process, overlooking the distinct roles and learning dynamics of low- and high-frequency components. To address this, we propose FREPix, a FREquency-heterogeneous flow matching framework for Pixel-space image generation. FREPix explicitly decomposes generation into low- and high-frequency components, assigns them separate transport paths, predicts them with a factorized network, and trains them with a frequency-aware objective. In this way, coarse-to-fine generation becomes an explicit design principle rather than an implicit behavior. On ImageNet class-to-image generation, FREPix achieves competitive results among pixel-space generation models, reaching 1.91 FID at $256\times256$ and 2.38 FID at $512\times512$, with particularly strong behavior in the low-NFE regime.

A growing body of work in cognitive science suggests that reportable conscious access is associated with \emph{global ignition} over distributed memory systems, while such activation is only partially accessible as individuals cannot directly access or enumerate all activated contents. This tension suggests a plausible mechanism that cognition may rely on a compact representation that approximates the global influence of activation on downstream processing. Inspired by this idea, we introduce the concept of \textbf{Mindscape Activation Signature (MiA-Signature)}, a compressed representation of the global activation pattern induced by a query. In LLM systems, this is instantiated via submodular-based selection of high-level concepts that cover the activated context space, optionally refined through lightweight iterative updates using working memory. The resulting MiA-Signature serves as a conditioning signal that approximates the effect of the full activation state while remaining computationally tractable. Integrating MiA-Signatures into both RAG and agentic systems yields consistent performance gains across multiple long-context understanding tasks.

Gradient-based attribution methods are model-faithful and scalable, but Integrated Gradients (IG) can be brittle because explanations depend on heuristic baselines, straight-line paths, discretization, and saturation. We propose Fisher--Rao Integrated Gradients (FRInGe), which defines both the reference and interpolation schedule in predictive distribution space. FRInGe replaces input baselines with a maximum-entropy predictive reference and follows a Fisher-Rao geodesic on the probability simplex. The corresponding input-space trajectory is realized through the pullback Fisher metric and stabilized by KL and Euclidean trust regions; attributions are obtained by integrating input gradients along this trajectory. Across six ImageNet architectures, FRInGe most clearly improves calibration-oriented attribution metrics, especially MAS scores, while remaining competitive on perturbation AUC and infidelity.

Zero-shot single-cell cell-type annotation aims to determine a cell's type from a given set of expressed genes without any training. Existing knowledge-graph-based RAG approaches retrieve evidence by expanding from source entities and relying on iterative LLM reasoning. However, in this setting each query contains tens to hundreds of genes, where no single gene is decisive and the label emerges only from their collective co-occurrence. Such hyper-entity queries fundamentally challenge local, entity-wise exploration strategies, which reason from individual genes, leading to poor scalability and substantial LLM cost. We propose GATHER (Graph-Aware Traversal with Hyper-Entity Retrieval), a convergence-centric retriever tailored to hyper-entity queries. It performs global multi-source graph traversal and identifies topological convergence points -- nodes jointly reachable from many input genes. These convergence nodes act as high-information hyper-entities that capture entity synergy. By incorporating node- and path-importance scoring, GATHER selects informative evidence entirely without LLM involvement during retrieval. Instantiated on a self-constructed cell-centric biological knowledge graph (VCKG), GATHER outperforms strong KG-RAG baselines (ToG, ToG-2, RoG, PoG) on two datasets (Immune and Lung), achieving the highest exact-match accuracy (27.45% and 59.64%) with only a single LLM call per sample, compared to 2--61 calls for KG-RAG baselines. Our results demonstrate that convergence nodes compress multi-entity signals into compact, high-information evidence that conveys more per item than multi-hop paths, providing an efficient global alternative to local entity-wise reasoning.

Semi-structured sparsity provides a practical path to accelerate large language models (LLMs) with native hardware support, but post-training semi-structured pruning often suffers from substantial quality degradation due to strong structural coupling. Existing methods rely on large-scale sparse retraining to recover accuracy, resulting in high computational cost. We propose SparseForge, a post-training framework that improves recovery efficiency by directly optimizing the sparsity mask rather than scaling up retraining tokens. SparseForge combines Hessian-aware importance estimation with progressive annealing of soft masks into hardware-executable structured sparsity, enabling stable and efficient sparse recovery. On LLaMA-2-7B under 2:4 sparsity, SparseForge achieves 57.27% average zero-shot accuracy with only $\textbf{5B}$ retraining tokens, surpassing the dense model's 56.43% accuracy and approaching the 57.52% result of a state-of-the-art method using $\textbf{40B}$ tokens. Such improvements on the accuracy-efficiency trade-off from SparseForge are shown to be consistent across model families.

World model-based policy evaluation is a practical proxy for testing real-world robot control by rolling out candidate actions in action-conditioned video diffusion models. As these models increasingly adopt latent diffusion modeling (LDM), choosing the right latent space becomes critical. While the status quo uses autoencoding latent spaces like VAEs that are primarily trained for pixel reconstruction, recent work suggests benefits from pretrained encoders with representation-aligned semantic latent spaces. We systematically evaluate these latent spaces for action-conditioned LDM by comparing six reconstruction and semantic encoders to train world model variants under a fixed protocol on BridgeV2 dataset, and show effective world model training in high-dimensional representation spaces with and without dimension compression. We then propose three axes to assess robotic world model performance: visual fidelity, planning and downstream policy performance, and latent representation quality. Our results show visual fidelity alone is insufficient for world model selection. While reconstruction encoders like VAE and Cosmos achieve strong pixel-level scores, semantic encoders such as V-JEPA 2.1 (strongest overall on policy), Web-DINO, and SigLIP 2 generally excel across the other two axes at all model scales. Our study advocates semantic latent space as stronger foundation for policy-relevant robotics diffusion world models.

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically assume acyclicity or rely on global causal structure learning, limiting applicability and computational efficiency. In this work, we study a local, data-driven method for covariate selection based on conditional independence information. While this method is known to be sound and complete in acyclic causal models, its validity in the presence of cycles has remained unclear. Our main contribution is to show that these guarantees extend to cyclic causal models. In particular, our result relies on the invariance of conditional independence assertions under $σ$-acyclification. These findings establish a unified, cycle-agnostic perspective on covariate selection and causal effect estimation, showing that the method applies across cyclic and acyclic settings without modification. Empirically, we validate this on extensive synthetic data, showing reliable performance in cyclic causal models.

Vacuity, or Uncertainty Mass (UM), is commonly used as a metric to evaluate Out-of-Distribution (OOD) detection in Evidential Deep Learning (EDL). It generally involves dividing the number of classes ($K$) by the total strength of belief ($S$) of the model's predictions, where $S$ is derived from summing the Dirichlet parameters. As such, UM is sensitive to the cardinality of $K$. In particular, it is unlikely in practice that there is a linear relationship between $K$ and $S$ as $K$ and $S$ increase due to the nature of EDL (suppressing incorrectly assigned evidence). As a result, when comparing In Distribution (ID) and OOD results, it is important that $K_{\mathrm{ID}}$ and $K_{\mathrm{OOD}}$ are equal; something that is not always ensured in practice. We provide an empirical demonstration of how results for AUROC and AUPR can substantially differ when class cardinality between ID and OOD differs by 1, with AUROC differing by as much as 0.318 and AUPR by 0.613 for standard EDL, and AUROC by 0.360 and AUPR by 0.683 for IB-EDL. More concretely, our findings isolate an evaluation artefact: when K differs between ID and OOD, AUROC/AUPR can be artificially inflated without any change in model predictions. We further discuss the evaluation of EDL over causal language models using Multiple-Choice Question-Answer (MCQA) datasets and argue for clearer definitions of ID and OOD in this context. Our primary contribution is an empirical and theoretical demonstration that vacuity-based OOD detection in EDL-fine-tuned LLMs is highly sensitive to uncontrolled differences in evaluated class cardinality.

Understanding the topology of decision regions is central to explaining the inner workings of deep neural networks. Prior empirical work has provided evidence that these regions are path connected. We study a stronger topological question: whether closed loops inside a decision region can be contracted without leaving that region. To this end, we propose an iterative quad-mesh filling procedure that constructs a finite-resolution label-preserving surface bounded by a given loop and lying entirely within the same decision region. We further connect this construction to natural Coons patches in order to quantify its deviation from a canonical geometric interpolation of the loop. By evaluating our method across several modern image-classification models, we provide empirical evidence supporting the hypothesis that decision regions in deep neural networks are not only path connected, but also simply connected.

Step distillation has become a leading technique for accelerating diffusion models, among which Distribution Matching Distillation (DMD) and Consistency Distillation are two representative paradigms. While consistency methods enforce self-consistency along the full PF-ODE trajectory to steer it toward the clean data manifold, vanilla DMD relies on sparse supervision at a few predefined discrete timesteps. This restricted discrete-time formulation and mode-seeking nature of the reverse KL divergence tends to exhibit visual artifacts and over-smoothed outputs, often necessitating complex auxiliary modules -- such as GANs or reward models -- to restore visual fidelity. In this work, we introduce Continuous-Time Distribution Matching (CDM), migrating the DMD framework from discrete anchoring to continuous optimization for the first time. CDM achieves this through two continuous-time designs. First, we replace the fixed discrete schedule with a dynamic continuous schedule of random length, so that distribution matching is enforced at arbitrary points along sampling trajectories rather than only at a few fixed anchors. Second, we propose a continuous-time alignment objective that performs active off-trajectory matching on latents extrapolated via the student's velocity field, improving generalization and preserving fine visual details. Extensive experiments on different architectures, including SD3-Medium and Longcat-Image, demonstrate that CDM provides highly competitive visual fidelity for few-step image generation without relying on complex auxiliary objectives. Code is available at https://github.com/byliutao/cdm.

Multimodalpersonalityunderstandingplaysacriticalroleinhuman centered artificial intelligence. Previous work mainly focus on learn-ing rich multimodal representations for video personality under standing. However, they often suffer from potential harm caused by subject bias (e.g., observable age and unobservable mental states), as subjects originate from diverse demographic backgrounds. Learn ing such spurious associations between multimodal features and traits may lead to unfair personality understanding. In this work, weconstruct aStructural Causal Model (SCM)toanalyze theimpact of these biases from a causal perspective, and propose a novel Dual Causal Adjustment Network (DCAN) to mitigate the interference of subject attributes on personality understanding. Specifically, we design a Back-door Adjustment Causal Learning (BACL) module to block spurious correlations from observable demographic factors via a prototype-based confounder dictionary, and subsequently ap ply a Front-door Adjustment Causal Learning (FACL) module to ad dress latent and unobservable biases throughalearnedmediatordic tionary intervention, thereby achieving causal disentanglement of representations for deconfounded reasoning. Importantly, we con struct a Demographic-annotated Multimodal Student Personality (DMSP) dataset to support the analysis and discussion of fairness related factors. Extensive experiments on the benchmark dataset CFI-V2 and our DMSPdataset demonstrate that DCAN consistently improves prediction accuracy, reaching 92.11% and 92.90%, respec tively. Meanwhile, the improvementsinthefairnessmetricsofequal opportunity and demographic parity are 6.57% and 7.97% on CFI-V2, and 15.38% and 20.06% on the DMSP dataset. Our code and DMSP dataset are available at https://github.com/Sabrina-han/DCAN

Despite extensive research into mitigating distribution shifts, many existing algorithms yield inconsistent performance, often failing to outperform baseline Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) across diverse scenarios. Furthermore, high algorithmic complexity frequently limits interpretability and offers only an indirect means of addressing spurious correlations. We propose eXplaining to Learn (eX2L): an interpretable, explanation-based framework that decorrelates confounding features from a classifier's latent representations during training. eX2L achieves this by penalizing the similarity between Grad-CAM activation maps generated by a primary label classifier and those from a concurrently trained confounder classifier. On the rigorous Spawrious Many-to-Many Hard Challenge benchmark, eX2L achieves an average accuracy (AA) of 82.24% +/- 3.87% and a worst-group accuracy (WGA) of 66.31% +/- 8.73%, outperforming the current state-of-the-art (SOTA) by 5.49% and 10.90%, respectively. Beyond its competitive performance, eX2L demonstrates that functional domain invariance can be achieved by explicitly decoupling label and nuisance attributes at the group level.

Large language model systems are increasingly deployed as agentic workflows that interleave reasoning, tool use, memory, and iterative refinement. These systems are effective at producing answers, but they often rely on implicit conversational state, making it difficult to preserve stable work products, isolate irrelevant updates, or propagate changes through intermediate artifacts. We introduce execution lineage: an execution model in which AI-native work is represented as a directed acyclic graph (DAG) of artifact-producing computations with explicit dependencies, stable intermediate boundaries, and identity-based replay. The goal is not to make the model a better one-shot writer, but to make evolving AI-generated work maintainable under change. We compare execution-lineage replay against loop-centric update baselines on two controlled policy-memo update tasks. In an unrelated-branch update, DAG replay preserved the final memo exactly in all runs, with zero churn and zero unrelated-branch contamination, while loop baselines regenerated the memo and frequently imported unrelated context. In an intermediate-artifact edit, all systems reflected the new constraint in the final memo, but only DAG replay achieved perfect upstream preservation, downstream propagation, unaffected-artifact preservation, and cross-artifact consistency. These results show that final answer quality and maintained-state quality are distinct. Strong loop baselines can remain competitive at producing polished final outputs when the task is a bounded synthesis/update problem and all current sources fit in context, but immediate task success can mask partial state inconsistency that may compound over future revisions. Execution lineage provides stronger guarantees about what should change, what should remain stable, and how work evolves across revisions.

We introduce a new generative modeling framework, \textbf{Flow Matching with Arbitrary Auxiliary Paths (AuxPath-FM)}, which generalizes conditional flow matching by incorporating an auxiliary variable drawn from an arbitrary distribution into the probability path. Unlike prior methods that restrict auxiliary components to Gaussian noise, AuxPath-FM allows the variable $η$ to follow any distribution, producing trajectories of the form $X_t = a(t)X_1 + b(t)X_0 + c(t)η$. We theoretically demonstrate that this construction preserves the continuity equation and maintains a training objective consistent with the marginal formulation. This flexibility enables the design of diverse probability paths using various priors, including Gaussian, Uniform, Laplace, and discrete Rademacher distributions, each offering unique geometric properties for generative flows. Furthermore, our framework allows for specialized tasks such as label-guided generation by encoding structured semantic information into the auxiliary distribution. Overall, AuxPath-FM provides a principled and general foundation for probability path design, offering both theoretical generality and practical flexibility for diverse generative modeling tasks.

This paper presents a preliminary analysis of the ability of Chronos foundation model to process and internally represent frequency domain information. Foundation models that process time-series data offer practitioners a unified architecture capable of learning generic temporal representations across diverse tasks and domains, reducing the need for task-specific feature engineering and enabling transfer across signal modalities. Despite their growing adoption, the extent to which such models encode fundamental signal properties remains insufficiently characterised. We address this gap by analysing Chronos under controlled conditions, starting from the simplest class of signals: discrete sinusoids generated at fixed frequencies. Using lightweight online minimum description length probes applied to the decoder architecture, we test for the presence and separability of frequency information in the model's internal representations. The results provide insight into how frequential content is captured across the frequency spectrum and highlight regimes in which representation quality may degrade or require particular care. These findings offer practical guidance for users of Chronos in signal processing and information fusion contexts, and contribute to ongoing efforts to improve the interpretability and evaluation of foundation models for temporal data.

This work studies the robust evaluation of iterative stochastic purification defenses under white-box adversarial attacks. Our key technical insight is that gradient checkpointing makes exact end-to-end gradient computation through long purification trajectories practical by trading additional recomputation for substantially lower memory usage. This enables full-gradient adaptive attacks against diffusion- and Langevin-based purification defenses, where prior evaluations often resort to approximate backpropagation due to memory constraints. These approximations can weaken the attack signal and risk overestimating robustness. In parallel, stochasticity in iterative purification is frequently under-controlled, even though different purification trajectories can substantially change reported robustness metrics. Building on this insight, we introduce a memory-efficient full-gradient evaluation framework for stochastic purification defenses. The framework combines checkpointed backpropagation with evaluation protocols that control stochastic variability, thereby reducing memory bottlenecks while preserving exact gradients. We evaluate diffusion-based purification and Langevin sampling with Energy-Based Models (EBMs), demonstrating that full-gradient attacks uncover vulnerabilities missed by approximate-gradient evaluations. Our framework yields stronger state-of-the-art $\ell_{\infty}$ and $\ell_{2}$ white-box attacks and further supports probing out-of-distribution robustness. Overall, our results show that exact-gradient evaluation is essential for reliable benchmarking of iterative stochastic defenses.

We study the grokking phenomenon through the lens of topology. Using persistent homology on point clouds derived from the embedding matrices of a range of models trained on modular arithmetic with varying primes, we identify a clear and consistent topological signature of grokking: a sharp increase in both the maximum and total persistence of first homology ($H_1$). Persistence diagrams reveal the emergence of a dominant long-lived topological feature together with increasingly structured secondary features, reflecting the underlying cyclic structure of the task. Compared to existing spectral and geometric diagnostics -- specifically, Fourier analysis and local intrinsic dimension -- persistent homology provides a unified geometric and topological characterization of representation learning, capturing both local and global multi-scale structure. Ablations across data regimes and control settings show that these topological transitions are tied to generalization rather than memorization. Our results suggest that persistent homology offers a principled and interpretable framework for analyzing how neural networks internalize latent structure during training.

Model cascades, in which a cheap LLM defers to an expensive one on low-confidence queries, are widely used to navigate the cost-quality tradeoff at deployment. Existing approaches largely treat the deferral threshold as an empirical hyperparameter, with limited guidance on the geometry of the resulting cost-quality frontier over a model pool. We develop a decision-theoretic framework grounded in constrained optimization and duality. For a two-model cascade, we establish piecewise concavity of the cost-quality frontier on decreasing-benefit regions of the confidence support, with reciprocal shadow prices linking the budget- and quality-constrained formulations. Given a pool of $k$ models, we characterize the frontier achievable by deterministic two-model threshold cascades as the pointwise envelope over $\binom{k}{2}$ pairwise cascades, with switching points where the optimal pair changes. For $k$-model cascades, we derive first-order conditions in which a single shadow price equalizes marginal quality-per-cost across stage boundaries. We validate the framework on five benchmarks (MATH, MMLU, TriviaQA, SimpleQA, LiveCodeBench) across eight models from five providers. Within the deterministic threshold-cascade class, full fixed chains underperform the pairwise envelope, and optimized subsequence cascades do not deliver practically meaningful held-out gains over it. A lightweight pre-generation router exceeds the best cascade policy on four of five datasets, mainly because it avoids the cheap model's generation cost on queries sent directly to a larger model rather than because of a stronger routing signal. These results suggest that cascade performance is limited primarily by structural cost, since cascades pay the cheap model before any escalation decision, rather than by a shortage of intermediate stages.

We study agency under partial observability in deterministic physical or simulated worlds, where apparent randomness arises from uncertainty over initial conditions, fixed law bits, and unrolled exogenous noise. We model sensing and actuation as bridge interfaces split between agent-controlled parameters and environment-controlled channel state, inducing a deterministic POMDP through a prior over latent microstates and many-to-one observation coarsening. Within this framework, we prove a separation between prediction, compression, and empowerment. Perfect prediction can be achieved either by identifying the hidden quotient relevant to the target family or by overwrite control that makes the future target action-determined; high empowerment alone is insufficient. Under refinable interfaces and sufficient memory, action-conditioned observation-compression progress reduces posterior uncertainty about the latent quotient, and when refinement requires steering world-side channel conditions, this creates target-conditioned interface empowerment. A bit-string specialization with a conserved information budget makes the resulting tradeoff explicit: prediction by identification requires internal capacity at least the relevant latent entropy, whereas overwrite control requires terminal action capacity over the controlled quotient. For modern AI agents, the results suggest a design principle rather than a theorem of inevitability: objectives should distinguish hidden-state identification, interface refinement, task-relevant controllability, and mere overwrite or distractor control. Human--AI alignment is partly an interface-design problem, where the relevant bridge is between human intent, agent internal state, external tools, and world-side channel conditions. This is a working draft: feedback and criticism is most welcome.

AI research agents have shown strong potential in automating literature search and manuscript refinement, yet most assume a clear and actionable initial input, operating only after a research question has been made explicit. In contrast, human research often begins with tacit friction, a sense of misalignment before a question can be formed. We introduce InciteResearch, a multi-agent framework designed to make a researcher's implicit understanding explicit, inspectable, and actionable. InciteResearch decomposes the logical chain of Socratic questioning and distributes it across the entire pipeline that: (1) Elicits a structured five-dimensional researcher profile state anchored by specific friction points from vague, even domain-unrelated inputs; (2) Violates hidden assumptions by maximizing the feasibility-novelty product with enforcing a 7-stage causal derivation trace; and (3) check whether the proposed method is a Necessary consequence of the reframed insight. We further introduce TF-Bench, the first benchmark for tacit-to-explicit research assistance that distinguishes domain-related from domain-unrelated inspirations across four scientific modes. On TF-Bench, InciteResearch achieves leapfrogging gains over a prompt-based baseline (novelty/impact from 3.671/3.806 to 4.250/4.397), shifting generated proposals from recombination to architectural insight. Our work demonstrates that AI can serve as an extension of thinking itself, rather than merely automating downstream execution.

Tabular foundation models are pre-trained on one of three classes of corpus: curated datasets drawn from benchmark repositories, tables harvested at scale from the web, or synthetic tables sampled from a parametric generative prior. Despite the centrality of pre-training data to model performance, little is known about how these corpora relate to one another in distribution, and the impact this has on downstream performance. In this work we take three canonical, archetypal datasets used to train tabular foundation models; the T4 dataset represents web-scraped corpora, the TabFM dataset curated tables from Kaggle, and the TabICL dataset as the only well-used synthetic prior with publicly available parameters. We characterise each corpus using aggregate features over whole tables, columns and correlations, and compare them using discriminator AUCs and k-NN coverage metrics. We find that the TabICL synthetic prior occupies a narrow region of the space of real tables, that this mismatch cannot be closed by optimising prior hyper-parameters across more than 86 thousand configurations, and that curated and web-scraped corpora are broadly interchangeable on a distributional level in feature space. Surprisingly, the distributional gap between synthetic pre-training data and real tables has a clearly detectable effect on performance under neither feature-based proximity measures or TabICL's own internal representations, suggesting that coverage of the real-data distribution is not the primary driver of TabICL's generalisation.

Activation steering controls LLM behaviour towards target behaviour by intervening in internal representations, yet it often degrades reasoning and retrieval performance. We argue that a primary cause of this trade-off is attention rerouting: steering vectors alter query-key matching, shifting attention away from contextually important tokens toward less informative ones. To address this, we propose Steering via Key-Orthogonal Projections (SKOP), a steering method that constrains harmful attention rerouting without eliminating steering efficacy. SKOP achieves this by preserving attention patterns on a small set of focus tokens the model relies on for reasoning and retrieval, while allowing redistribution among less critical tail tokens. Across multiple steering benchmarks, we show that SKOP achieves the best joint steering-utility trade-off, reducing utility degradation by 5-7x while retaining over 95% of vanilla steering efficacy. Our results further suggest that, in long-context retrieval settings where vanilla steering approaches are ineffective, SKOP can maintain robust performance by avoiding attention rerouting.

Deployed language and vision-language models must decide, on each input, whether to answer directly, retrieve evidence, defer to a stronger model, or abstain. Contrary to the common monotonicity intuition, greater per-input expressivity is not uniformly beneficial in finite samples: under identical strict cross-validation, different benchmarks prefer different controller classes. This reflects a finite-sample limitation of instance-level uncertainty signals, which can be exhausted at a distribution-dependent scale. We organize controllers into a nested lattice of four classes: fixed actions, partition routers, instance-level controllers, and prior-gated controllers, ordered by complexity. We prove a regime theory that turns three data-estimable bottlenecks into a class choice: how much improvement is possible beyond the best fixed action, whether there are enough samples for instance-level controllers to make reliable decisions, and how much improvement a coarse partition router can recover when instance-level signal is unreliable. The resulting Bernstein-tight threshold has a matching information-theoretic lower bound, and strict nested cross-validation provably selects a near-best class. Across SMS-Spam, HallusionBench, A-OKVQA, and FOLIO, the predicted class matches the empirical winner; the prior-gated controller wins on TextVQA when OCR tokens supply a label-free prediction-time prior. Code is available at https://github.com/Anonymous-Awesome-Submissions/Regime-Theory.

Despite the unprecedented volume of multimodal data provided by modern Earth observation systems, our ability to model atmospheric dynamics remains constrained. Traditional modeling frameworks force heterogeneous measurements into predefined spatial grids, inherently limiting the full exploitation of raw sensor data and creating severe computational bottlenecks. Here we present Earth-o1, an observation-native atmospheric world model that overcomes these structural limitations. Rather than relying on conventional atmospheric dynamical modeling systems or traditional data assimilation, Earth-o1 directly learns the continuous, three-dimensional physical evolution of the Earth system from ungridded observational data. By integrating diverse sensor inputs into a unified, grid-free dynamical field, the model autonomously advances the atmospheric state in space and time. We show that this fundamentally distinct paradigm enables direct, real-time forecasting and cross-sensor inference without the overhead of explicit numerical solvers. In hindcast evaluations, Earth-o1 achieves surface forecast skill comparable to the operational Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). These results establish that continuous, observation-driven world models -- a new class of fully observation-native geophysical simulators -- can match the fidelity of established physical frameworks, providing a scalable data-driven foundation for a digital twin of the Earth.

The training data of large language models (LLMs) comprises a wide range of biomedical literature, reflecting data from many different patient populations. We investigate how it might be possible to recover information on correlation and causal links between patient characteristics, as a key building block for medical decision making. To avoid the pitfalls of direct elicitation, we propose an approach based on structured comparison questions, specifically patient comparison triplet questions. This is combined with a statistical model for the LLM representation that provides estimates of correlations without access to activations or model internals. Intuitively, we consider how similarity decisions of LLMs based on a first variable are affected by providing information on a second variable for one of the patients being assessed. We then induce prompt-level environment shifts to obtain correlation estimates for different subpopulations, which enables an invariant causal prediction (ICP) approach to obtain conservative candidate parent links. We demonstrate the method in two clinical domains, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and multiple sclerosis (MS). Across prompted environments, the elicited correlations are smooth, stable, and clinically interpretable, yet vary in a statistically significant way that supports downstream invariance testing, such that ICP provides a small set of candidate invariant parent links. These results show that indirect elicitation via triplet comparisons can recover meaningful association structure from LLMs and offer a cautious route from implicit correlations to causal statements that are congruent with LLM answering patterns.

Tool-using large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly deployed in settings where their reliable behavior is governed by strict procedural manuals. Ensuring that such agents comply with the rules from these manuals is challenging, as they are typically written for humans in natural language while agent behavior manifests as an execution trace of tool calls. Existing evaluations of LLM agents rely on manually constructed benchmarks or LLM-based judges, which either do not scale or lack reliability for complex, long-horizon manuals. To overcome these limitations, we present MANTRA, a framework for automatically synthesizing machine-checkable compliance benchmarks from natural-language manuals and tool schemas. MANTRA independently generates (i) a symbolic world model capturing procedural dependencies, and (ii) a set of trace-level compliance checks for a given task, and validates their consistency using SMT solving. A structured repair loop resolves inconsistencies, requiring human intervention only as a fallback. %This yields benchmarks that are formally validated. Importantly, MANTRA supports arbitrary domains and long procedural manuals, and provides a tunable notion of task complexity which is utilized to automatically derive challenging tasks accompanying compliance checks. Using MANTRA, we build a new benchmark suite with 285 tasks across 6 domains scaling to 50+ page manuals with minimal human effort. Empirically, we show that the compliance checks are richer with stronger constraint enforcement compared to existing benchmarks. Additionally, the granularity of the checks can be used for debugging the agents' failure modes. These results demonstrate that combining automated benchmark generation with formally grounded validation methods enables scalable and reliable benchmarking of tool-using agents.

Cocoa (Theobroma cacao) is a critical cash crop for millions of smallholder farmers in West Africa, where Cocoa Swollen Shoot Virus Disease (CSSVD) and anthracnose cause devastating yield losses. Automated disease detection from leaf images is essential for early intervention, yet deploying such systems in resource-constrained settings demands models that are small, fast, and require no internet connectivity. Existing edge-deployable plant disease systems rely on end-to-end deep learning without uncertainty quantification, while Bayesian methods for edge devices focus on hardware-level inference architectures rather than agricultural applications. We bridge this gap with TinyBayes, the first framework to combine a closed-form Bayesian classifier with a mobile-grade computer vision pipeline for crop disease detection. Our pipeline uses YOLOv8-Nano (5.9 MB) for lesion localisation, MobileNetV3-Small (3.5 MB) for feature extraction, and the Jacobi prior; a Bayesian method that provides a closed form non-iterative estimators via projection, for the classification. The Jacobi-DMR (Distributed Multinomial Regression) classifier adds only 13.5 KB to the pipeline, bringing the total model size within 9.5 MB, while achieving 78.7% accuracy on the Amini Cocoa Contamination Challenge dataset and enabling end-to-end CPU inference under 150 ms per image. We benchmark against seven classifiers including Random Forest, SVM, Ridge, Lasso, Elastic Net, XGBoost, and Jacobi-GP, and demonstrate that the Jacobi-DMR offers the best trade-off between accuracy, model size, and inference speed for edge deployment. We have proved the asymptotic equivalence and consistency, asymptotic normality and the bias correction of Jacobi-DMR. All data and codes are available here: https://github.com/shouvik-sardar/TinyBayes

Constructive neural routing solvers usually score the next action by matching a decoder context to candidate embeddings, hiding deterministic one-step consequences such as travel, waiting, slack, and capacity changes. We propose LINC (Local Inference via Normed Comparison), a decoder-side candidate decision architecture that computes these consequences explicitly. LINC uses them according to their decision role: centered relative consequences are compared by a shared linear local scorer, while feasible-set summaries modulate the decoder context. This preserves standard global matching and relieves the hidden state from rediscovering transition arithmetic. The Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (CVRPTW) serves as the main constrained-routing stress test; the same interface extends to the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem (CVRP) and Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP). In particular, for CVRPTW, LINC reduces PolyNet's Solomon/Homberger gaps from 13.83\%/38.15\% to 7.26\%/14.71\%; for TSP and CVRP, it also improves external-benchmark gaps.

Safety benchmarks are routinely treated as evidence about how a language model will behave once deployed, but this inference is fragile if behavior depends on whether a prompt looks like an evaluation. We define evaluation-context divergence as an observable within-item change in behavior induced by framing a fixed task as an evaluation, a live deployment interaction, or a neutral request, and present a paired-prompt protocol that measures it in open-weight LLMs while controlling for paraphrase variation, benchmark familiarity, and judge framing-sensitivity. Across five instruction-tuned checkpoints from four open-weight families plus a matched OLMo-3 base/instruct ablation ($20$ paired items, $840$ generations per checkpoint), we find striking heterogeneity. OLMo-3-Instruct alone is eval-cautious -- evaluation framing raises refusal vs. neutral by $11.8$pp ($p=0.007$) and reduces harmful compliance vs. deployment by $3.6$pp ($p=0.024$, $0/20$ items inverted) -- while Mistral-Small-3.2, Phi-3.5-mini, and Llama-3.1-8B are deployment-cautious}, with marginal eval-vs-deployment refusal effects of $-9$ to $-20$pp. The matched OLMo-3 base also exhibits the deployment-cautious pattern, identifying alignment as the inversion stage; within Llama-3.1, the $70$B model preserves direction with attenuated magnitude, ruling out a simple ``small-model effect that reverses at scale.'' One caveat: the cross-family heterogeneity is judge-dependent. Re-judging with a different-family safety classifier (Llama-Guard-3-8B) preserves the within-OLMo eval-cautious direction but flattens the cross-family contrast, indicating that the two judges operationalize distinct constructs.

Tool-integrated reasoning (TIR) offers a direct way to extend thinking models beyond the limits of text-only reasoning. Paradoxically, we observe that tool-enabled evaluation can degrade reasoning performance even when the strong thinking models make almost no actual tool calls. In this paper, we investigate how to inject natural tool-use behavior into a strong thinking model without sacrificing its no-tool reasoning ability, and present a comprehensive TIR recipe. We highlight that (i) the effectiveness of TIR supervised fine-tuning (SFT) hinges on the learnability of teacher trajectories, which should prioritize problems inherently suited for tool-augmented solutions; (ii) controlling the proportion of tool-use trajectories could mitigate the catastrophic forgetting of text-only reasoning capacity; (iii) optimizing for pass@k and response length instead of training loss could maximize TIR SFT gains while preserving headroom for reinforcement learning (RL) exploration; (iv) a stable RL with verifiable rewards (RLVR) stage, built upon suitable SFT initialization and explicit safeguards against mode collapse, provides a simple yet remarkably effective solution. When applied to Qwen3 thinking models at 4B and 30B scales, our recipe yields models that achieve state-of-the-art performance in a wide range of benchmarks among open-source models, such as 96.7% and 99.2% on AIME 2025 for 4B and 30B, respectively.